So here it comes. Will the Democratic wave be a tsunami or a little ripple? Depends on who you ask. Coming into the final forty-eight hours before the end of the 2006 election season, people are doing anything to avoid regular television so as to not see another political ad. But I personally, can't wait to get home Tuesday evening and watch the returns come in. While we wait for the votes to be counted, here are my final predictions:
The United States Senate: 52 Democrats (with two Independents, Lieberman and Sanders), 48 Republicans. Democrats pick up Republican seats in Montana (Goodbye, Senator Burns), Missouri (Later, Senator Talent), Ohio (Beat it, Senator DeWine), Pennsylvania (Farewell, Senator Santorum), and Virginia (Adios, Senator Allen). I am also predicting that either Tennessee or (hold on to your hat) Arizona falls the Democratic way. I have long believed that Harold Ford might pull this race out and I still think he can, but momentum is definitely in Corker's favor right now. In Arizona, Senator Kyl has been leading his race the entire time, but today a poll out in the Arizona Star has his opponent, Jon Pederson within the margin of error. If the wave is big enough, keep an eye out on Arizona. Democrats will successfully hold seats in Minnesota, Washington, Michigan, Maryland (but barely, and I am not convinced), and New Jersey (also by a razor thin margin, perhaps only by a few federal criminal investigators).
The House of Representatives: Paging Speaker Pelosi, Speaker Pelosi, please come to the floor of the House, thank you. It is clear that the Democrats are going to wrest control of the House away from Republicans, the only question remaining is how big the majority will be. My bet: Democrats 233, Republicans 202, a 31-seat majority. There are any number of races that could still go either way, but that's my number, a democratic majority of between 25 and 30 seats.
Governors: 29 Democrats, 21 Republicans. Hold your breath. I am not sure about Maryland.
Check back to see how I did.
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